1979 Revisited | The Weekly Standard
Posted February 2, 2011on:
- In: Barack Obama | Commentary | International News | Islam, Muslim, jihad, terrorist | Israel Fight for Survival | jihad in the world | Know the enemies of America | Middle East and Muslims | National Defense | Obama admistration | Obama and ethics | Obamanation | Revolt in the Middle East 2011
- 2 Comments
A fairly accurate history lesson of the situation in 1979 that our President might have learned from if he had bothered to learn it or ask advice from someone who knew the past.
The assessment of the Obama Administrations strategy however I very much disagree with. I believe very strongly that Obama and his cronies are very much involved in Egypt now and have been working for this very event in the Middle East. At the same time they were trying to demoralize and even kill off our troops by keeping them in the snake pit of Pakistan/Afghanistan . President Bush was slowly pulling out of that mess and watching more closely the events in the Middle East. President Bush was preparing for this sort of event and move by the Muslim Brotherhood (the group backing and responsible for all the terrorist activity!) by staying in Iraq and putting missiles in Poland. Obama immediately went back on our promise to our allies the Polish in order to appease Russia and by this move he left all of Europe open to attack by the Muslims as well as oil extortion by oil rich Russia. The Russians are every bit as vulnerable to the Muslims and especially to China but they have ever played the games with world leaders even to their own detriment. The Communist fell in 1989 much due to this stupid maneuvering just one up the United States and it will cut it’s own throat again.
Obama knows however just exactly what he is doing! He wants a Muslim Caliphate to return to the region ( the last one fell in 1920’s) and eventually take over the world.
But I still think this and the referred articles make good reading and give some good insight into the past, the present and the possible future. And one fact we MUST keep in mind is that the Egyptians people involved in this are 30 and under who have had no experience with free elections or the democratic process. They have a lot to learn and little time in which to do it. We can only pray a strong and honest leader comes forward; they need a George Washington. BB
1979 Revisited3:00 PM, Feb 2, 2011 • By THOMAS DONNELLY
Scrambling for a simple standard to measure events in Egypt and across the Arab world, the blogosphere and the airwaves have been full of references to 1979. That point of reference is probably more apt than imagined, for much more happened that year than just the Iranian revolution. It was also the year of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, the seizure of the Grand Mosque in Mecca by Sunni extremists, and the year that Saddam Hussein assumed overt power in Iraq. In sum, it was a year when the political tectonic plates of the region shifted violently and profoundly.
It was a shift that was rapidly reflected in American strategy making and military posture. The “Carter Doctrine,” nominally a reaction to the Soviets and expressed as a willingness to defend the region against outside influence, quickly morphed into a broader doctrine of opposing any hostile bid for hegemony – be it local or external. The United States began to move from being an “off-shore balancer,” content to work entirely through regional regimes, to being ever more deeply and directly involved. And the ad hoc “Joint Readiness Deployment Task Force” became, in 1981, U.S. Central Command. (Carter was wrong too! BB)
While the region’s tremors have not been as sudden as in 1979, the ground is rumbling from North Africa to South Asia. The United States has itself delivered a number of the jolts – particularly to Iraq – as have al Qaeda and its flock of “associated movements.” Iran’s revolutionary regime has proven itself alternatively shaky and able to shake, expending the remnants of the shah’s conventional forces (and hundreds of thousands of militiamen) against Iraq but since then through proxies like Hezbollah and the increased effort to acquire nuclear weapons. The region’s other regimes, such as Saudi Arabia or Pakistan, have obvious vulnerabilities.
More disturbing than President Obama’s tepid and ambiguous responses to the demonstrations in Egypt (which is all that he can or should do in the near-term) is the lack of longer-range policy goals, let alone anything like a how-to strategy. And the administration’s plan, ensured by the most recent announcements of Pentagon budget cuts, is to shrink the U.S. military posture. In sum, at the moment when the movement to create a new order in the region is accelerating – and who can seriously think that the likelihood of violence is diminishing, will be self-regulating, or can be met only with “soft power?” – the United States appears to be backing away. It is one thing to acknowledge that we cannot determine or dictate the outcome of the changes coming to the greater Middle East, quite another to act as though we don’t care enough to continue to exert a shaping influence.
Barack Obama wanted to focus on “reconstructing” America rather than reconstructing the world, particularly after the trials of the Bush years, the Muslim world. And his method – with the 2009 Afghanistan reviews providing the clearest examples – has generally been to avoid making any decisions until the last moment and then limiting commitments to the point where they undercut the value of the decision itself. But things that cannot go on eventually do not.
There is a cautionary lesson here for the Republican Party. The party’s 2010 revival, of course, had nothing to do with foreign policy, and congressional leaders are naturally devoting their immediate energies to fulfilling their domestic mandate. And thus far they’ve been sensibly supporting the administration’s efforts on Egypt. But conservatives, especially those who would be president, should ponder the 1979-come-again moment at length – including its connections to Ronald Reagan’s 1980 moment.